TIER 1 QB at TIER 2 ADP

Pat Mahomes | ADP 76.5 (47% Exposure)

HOT DAMN! Patrick Mahomes in the 7th? Sign me up for a 50% share in the Drafters Early Best Ball Championship. Why?

  • He’s the best QB in the league, with every trick in the bag

  • Gaudy passing stats even in down years makes his floor high and his plausible ceiling expectation of 5k yards and 40+ TDs

  • Dual-Threatish, with a 3-500 rushing yards a cherry bonus to that passing

  • Red zone rushing TDs are below average rate

  • REVENGE! Stomp his three-peat hopes? Look what you made him do…

  • DOUBLE REVENGE! Stop calling me Kermit mother “fudger”

  • Has been QB1 twice (2018, 2022) with not just season leading stats but ALL-TIME great ones

  • COUNTERPOINT: Receiver situationship - ACL recoveries and legal issues could reduce games played with best weapons

Baker Mayfield | ADP 86.4 (3% Exposure)

The Mahomes-Lite of QBeers. You don’t have to love it. But a #1 overall draftee who just had a top 5 season has to be considered. Why?

  • He has 5 legitimate pass catchers in not only what may be the best trio in Evans, Godwin, and McMillan at WR, but also Cade Otten at TE and Rachaad White in the backfield

  • Subtly Dual-Threatish, had a string of games with 30-40 rushing yards and is a lock for hand full of rushing TDs, think 5

  • The NFC South has the WORST collection of secondaries and with 5 viable pass catching options on any given play he’s going to eat in his 6 divisional games

  • TOUGHNESS: Dude is a gamer, not coming out for a snap, who you can count on to play 17 games (knock on wood)

  • COUNTERPOINT: Liam Cohen leaving for DUVAAALLL could change system away from Mayfield’s biggest strengths (quick reads, play-action, downfield shots)

Dak Prescott | ADP 119.6 (23% Exposure)

Oh baby! I hate the cowboys but I am loving the Dak Prescott “up” year potential. why?

  • The dude threw for 5000 yards already, we know he can sling it

  • He has CeeDee Lamb, easily Top 5 Best WR with arguments to be numero uno

  • Besides Jake Ferguson, all of the other receivers are big play/splash play types leading to those potential spike games we need to create separation in Best Ball standings

  • 300-400 rushing yards is not unreasonable to expect

  • Cowboys play 6 against a high scoring division with the Chiefs, Lions, Packers, Chargers and Vikings also making appearances in the Score-Festivals

  • The ‘boys also lucked into Away Games at the Raiders, Jets, and Panthers stinky defenses

  • COUNTERPOINT: Ashton Jeanty falls to 12 and Jerruh gets him some glory hole

Anthony Richardson | ADP 141.7 (28% Exposure)

I get it…you paid a fourth and got burned last year. I didn’t except for one auto draft mishap. I am IN on A-Rich in the 12th round tho. Why?

  • REVENGE: Nothing, and I mean NOTHING, motivates a dude like being embarrassed the way he was last year

  • Working with the Josh Allen-whispering Chris Hess to increase that sub-50% completion rate

  • You know he has the arm talent…and if not go watch that 60 yard on-the-money bomb to Alec Pierce with a guy hanging on him - just search “Anthony Richardson Best Throw” on your politically aligned search platform

  • 4 bullets and we haven’t even touched his RUSHING UPSIDE! Literally…could have more rushing yards than Lamar or Jayden and, by jove! if the Colts learn the ‘Tush Push’ (the COLT BOLT ⚡)

  • 20 points JUST FROM RUSHING in a single game is likely

  • COUNTERPOINT: All that work with Chris Hess is a waste because his head isn’t in it and we see Danny Dimes play a decent number of games

Justin Fields | ADP 172.5 (10% Exposure)

Everything I just wrote about Anthony Richardson, double it…

Since you’re here, maybe get off your @$$ and do a workout…

GOYAADi