PROPER TOP 12
Pick 1 | Saquon Barkley (ADP 1.02)
Ja’maar Chase, or Saquon Barkley at the 1.01? Easiest question of the draft bc there is no wrong answer…gotta go with the Quads.
PROS:
THAT consistency, with a super high floor.
Can draft less RBs overall allowing you to stock up at other positions (3-5-9-3 or 4-5-8-3 builds)
Double up leverage on the Chase owners and take Tee Higgins on the 2-3 turn if Chase misses time
Philly’s Diesel O-Line
Bonus! They might outlaw the Brotherly Shove = Goal Line Runs!
CONS:
New OC could ask Hurts to throw more and/or save Saquon for the playoffs
Long TDs could regress back to the mean
Pick 2 | Ja’maar Chase (ADP 1.01)
So Ja’maar at 2 then?…yep, yessir, correct
PROS:
Volume, Volume, Volume
Big play TDs are more likely from pass plays (THE WR1 three times in 2024)
Also a Red Zone threat (36 red zone targets led NFL)
Chemistry with Burrow since LSU
Solid RB options on the 2/3 turn (Jacobs, Breece, Bucky)
Team stack with Higgins and Burrow lines up
CONS:
Pick 2 could totally bust your QB stacks by taking Tee at 23 and Burrow at 47
Have to pay 4th round pick for the QB stack
Is Burrow hurt? (Always seems that way don’t it)
Pick 3 | CeeDee Lamb (ADP 1.07)
Here’s where it gets tough…for you…for me I’m taking CD because A and B are taken
PROS:
Volume, Volume, Volume (see Chase, Ja’maar)
He was the consensus 1.01 last season…remember?
You can get him at 1.07!
Can play outside or slot, making him ‘nearly’ matchup proof
No major target competition
Dak, jokes aside, is good (multiple 4400+ yd seasons)
Schottenheimer, while being a run sets up pass disciple, has had great QB success (Early Russell Wilson, Favre, hell he got Mark Sanchez to the AFC Championship…twice!)
CONS:
Dak could just get hurt again (3 of last 6 seasons…)
New offensive system could be slow to come together
Pick 4 | Jahmyr Gibbs (ADP 1.03)
Gibbs or Bijan? Another no-wrong-answer question, but Lions beat Falcons in nature and the NFL so I lean Jah
PROS:
Dual-Threat (250 carries, 50 catches)
Efficient (5.65 ypc) AND Explosive
The Lions are a hungry team and Dan Campbell has no problem running up scores on opponents
CONS:
David Frickin’ Montgomery could take a dozen TDs away from him
Ben Johnson’s offensive genius might not be replaced
Pick 5 | Bijan Robinson (ADP 1.05)
Bijan is a bad mutha…he even looks like the orc chieftan from LOTR (nerd alert)
PROS:
Prototype 3 down back (300 carries, 60 catches)
He was only 22 last year, room to grow
Big Game Bijan (5 games with 2 tuddies)
CONS:
Penix might not be good, allowing defenses to key on the run game
Tyler Allgeier is annoyingly above average
Kyle Pitts SZN (just kidding)
Pick 6 | Justin Jefferson (ADP 1.04)
Start the Volkswagen, you’re driving a JJetta
PROS:
Probably the best receiver in the league
Minnesota was top 3 in pass plays per game 2 of out of the last 3 seasons (but not last season)
Catches everything (128 receptions in 2023)
Durable (only 1 game missed in his career )
Cheap stacking pieces with JJ McCarthy and other offensive players
CONS:
JJ McCarthy is a total wild card having torn his ACL in preseason, limited practice reps too…
Addison, Nailor, and Hock are all good targets and can benefit from teams doubling Jefferson
Pick 7 | Christian McCaffrey (ADP 2.03)
Run CMC about to walk this way again
PROS:
Probably the best running back in the league
Premier pass catching
Shanahan offense
Deebo and Aiyuk both might be gone making him even more involved in the passing game
It’s PPR, dude
You can draft him early second round pretty consistently
CONS:
Coming off tendinitis in BOTH legs (that’s like getting both hands bit off by two separate sharks…IYKYK)
Jordan Mason led the NFL in rushing the first 3 weeks of 2024
Pick 8 | Derrick Henry (ADP 1.12)
If I had to prove there were non-humans in our society, he’d be my first pick
PROS:
1900 yards and 18 TDs in the running-est offense in the NFL
Literally is a Yeti
10 or more tuddies in 7 straight seasons (including the one he only played 8 games)
CONS:
Turned 31 (dun dun duunnnhh)
Career high was 33 receptions and usually has under 20
Pick 9 | Malik Nabers (ADP 1.09)
I sure do end up with a lot of Malik Nabers
PROS:
Consistency baby! One game with less than 5 catches and 50 yards
Has monster games (171/2 in the fantasy finals for example)
No threat for target share
Produced with garbage at QB and could upgrade tremendously in the draft
Fun team name option playing on “neighbors”
CONS:
Got concussed in his fourth game and missed the next two weeks
Don’t know who to stack with at QB (but I’m betting on Shedeur bc of the cleats)
Pick 10 | De’von Achane (ADP 2.02)
All aboard the A-train…
PROS:
Ceiling games (5 games as THE RB3 or better last year)
Efficiently consistent (rookie year 7.8 per carry aside, he’s a top 12 RB most weeks)
Receiving threat in a pass friendly Mike McDaniel offense (78 catches in 2024)
No more Raheem Mostert
CONS:
The wheels came off for the fins last year and could be an ominous sign
Tua’s fragile cranium
Pick 11 | Brock Bowers (ADP 2.07)
That New Kelce smell…
PROS:
The most prolific rookie TE season in history
Produced with garbage at QB (See Nabers, Malik)
10 games with 15+ points (2 with 30!)
No target competition
Raiders have no run game
Huge positional advantage allows more roster spots for RB and WR (You could legit only draft him at TE and take a bagel on the bye and still outscore 3 TE teams)
CONS:
Raiders might not upgrade at QB
Claims to be a rookie but is clearly 35 years old
Pick 12 | Amon-Ra St. Brown (ADP 1.08)
12??? Blasphemy to Michiganders…
PROS:
Ceiling games are phenomenal (2 near 40-burgers)
Scores 20+ regularly (7 times including the two monsters above)
TD consistency (11 games with at least one TD
Lions offense is very high scoring
CONS:
Campbell spreads the wealth (6 tds in a game spread among 5 players for example)
Target and big play competition from Jameson Williams
TD/Redzone competition from LaPorta (10 and 7)
Goal line competition from the run game
Since you’re here, maybe get off your @$$ and do a workout…
